Bulletin of Insectology (2013) 66, 309-314

Claudio Pucci, Nino Iannotta, Natasha Duro, Alban Jaupi, Fadil Thomaj, Stefano Speranza and Bruno Paparatti (2013)
Application of a statistical forecast model on the olive fruit fly (Bactrocera oleae) infestation and oil analysis in Albania
Bulletin of Insectology 66 (2), 309-314
Abstract: In our paper we evaluated a statistical-mathematic forecast model on the seriousness of the infestation of Bactrocera oleae (Rossi) which is in some years particularly favourable to Tripetidae, and can cause considerable qualitative and quantitative damage. Three cultivars which represent the Albanian olive-growing environment were taken into consideration: "Boçi", "Kalinjot" and "Ulliri i Bardhë i Tiranës". It was necessary to do treatment only for the Boçi cultivar while the Ulliri i Bardhë i Tiranës and Kalinjot were not treated because the intervention threshold (Z) was not reached. At harvest, Ulliri i Bardhë i Tiranës and Kalinjot showed slight levels of infestation (about 7%) and the oils obtained were of outstanding quality (extra virgin). The untreated Boçi cultivar, instead, had 67% infested drupes at harvest and the oil extracted showed serious defects and an acidity of 1.97. 2010 was marked by a high intensity of infestation detected in the Boçi cultivar that has allowed us to prove the validity of the mathematical forecast model on the seriousness of the infestation. It is worth noting that in years of low intensity of infestation, we would not have significant responses, as we have highlighted in several olive groves in Italy and abroad. The results indicated that the applied model accurately forecasts the trend of the infestation regarding the average catches of females/trap/week and the average temperature of the same week. In light of the present results, we suggest extending research to other native cultivars and in different olive-growing environments; this will allow us to single out more suitable cultivars which can be included in the development programs of the Albanian olive-growing.
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Database assignments for author(s): Bruno Paparatti, Stefano Speranza

Research topic(s) for pests/diseases/weeds:
population dynamics/ epidemiology

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Pest and/or beneficial records:

Beneficial	Pest/Disease/Weed	Crop/Product	Country	Quarant.
	Bactrocera oleae	Olive (Olea europaea)	Albania