Pest Management Science (2019) 75, 215-223

Xue Li, Xuezhen Ge, Linghong Chen, Linjing Zhang, Tao Wang and Shixiang Zong (2019)
Climate change impacts on the potential distribution of Eogystia hippophaecolus in China
Pest Management Science 75 (1), 215-223
Abstract:
BACKGROUND
Seabuckthorn carpenter moth, Eogystia hippophaecolus (Hua, Chou, Fang, and Chen, 1990), is the most important boring pest of sea buckthorn (Hippophae rhamnoides L.) in the northwest of China. It is responsible for the death of large areas of H. rhamnoides forest, seriously affecting the ecological environment and economic development in north-western China. To clarify the potential distribution of E. hippophaecolus in China, the present study used the CLIMEX 4.0.0 model to project the potential distribution of the pest using historical climate data (1981–2010) and simulated future climate data (2011–2100) for China.
RESULTS
Under historical climate condition, E. hippophaecolus would be found to be distributed mainly between 27° N–51° N and 74° E–134° E, with favorable and highly favorable habitats accounting for 35.2% of the total potential distribution. Under future climate conditions, E. hippophaecolus would be distributed mainly between 27° N–53° N and 74° E–134° E, with the possibility of moving in a northwest direction. Under these conditions, the proportion of the total area providing a favorable and highly favorable habitat may decrease to about 33%.
CONCLUSION
These results will help to identify the impact of climate change on the potential distribution of E. hippophaecolus, thereby providing a theoretical basis for monitoring and early forecasting of pest outbreaks.
(The abstract is excluded from the Creative Commons licence and has been copied with permission by the publisher.)
Link to article at publishers website
Database assignments for author(s): Shixiang Zong

Research topic(s) for pests/diseases/weeds:
environment - cropping system/rotation
surveys/sampling/distribution

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Pest and/or beneficial records:

Beneficial	Pest/Disease/Weed	Crop/Product	Country	Quarant.
	Eogystia hippophaecolus		China (NW)