Annual Review of Phytopathology (2015) 53, 471-484

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Jonathan Yuen and Asimina Mila (2015)
Landscape-scale disease risk quantification and prediction
Annual Review of Phytopathology 53, 471-484
Abstract: The study of plant disease epidemics at a landscape scale can be extended to allow for predictions about disease occurrence at this scale. Examined within the context of the disease triangle, systems developed to incorporate information primarily about the pathogen and conditions conducive to the infection process. Parametric methods can be used to relate environmental conditions to disease, and specifically relate environment to the inoculum production, the resulting infection process, or both. Aspects relating to the presence or absence of the host plant within the landscape, or patterns of the host within the landscape, are much rarer in disease prediction, although analyses incorporating these factors have been conducted. Predictive systems at the landscape scale may concentrate only on the conditions for infection or possible migratory paths of pathogen propagules. Incorporation of all components of the disease triangle may be one way to improve these systems.
(The abstract is excluded from the Creative Commons licence and has been copied with permission by the publisher.)
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population dynamics/ epidemiology

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